Micro Fulfillment Market is expected to have a cumulative opportunity worth $32B in next 7 years by 2030 with an installed base of 5600+ MFCs.
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Introduction
Micro Fulfillment Centers (MFCs), a highly recommended popular e-commerce fulfillment strategy, is an effective way to meet the rising volumes, the changing geographical nature of e-commerce demand, and the growing desire for same-day or same-hour delivery. As per the latest market research study (4th Edition), Micro Fulfillment Market is expected to have a cumulative opportunity worth $32B in next 7 years by 2030 with an installed base of 5600+ MFCs if the technology and concept remains permanent. Year 2025 is expected to have an inflection point for Micro Fulfillment market touching almost ~$3B installed mark and setting the base for the future.
The 4th edition of this study is having a market analysis of more than 250 players (part of our exclusive Market Map), Key Technologies, Targeted Warehouse Sizes, End-User Industries, Store Types and more than 20 countries/regions although this market is getting adopted mainly in U.S. and U.K. at present. Our analysis is also validated through 70+ in-depth interviews across the value chain with components and technology providers, system integrators & manufacturers, grocery stores and end-user industry verticals. Market size tables (85+) are also available in pivot-excel format to analyze further along with 200+ pages in-depth market study. It is a best reference to analyze the market attractiveness, to identify the partner, customer or supplier, to check the competitive landscape, to benchmark the new technologies and to select the right geography & industry vertical for your products and services. Voice and opinion of grocery stores, dark stores and instant delivery service providers have been taken as the key parameter for this market forecast.
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Micro Fulfillment – Need of the hour
Industry giants such as Amazon, Walmart, Ocado, Kroger and Alibaba are driving the “best-in-class” e-commerce fulfillment strategy for the last decade. They are also investing in cutting-edge robotics and automation for their Customer Fulfillment Centers (CFCs) – that are continuously redefining target productivity and service levels. But these centralized fulfillment centers are situated far away from the city and have an additional transportation cost along with considerably more delivery time as compared to consumer’s expectations, especially in grocery and F&B industry. Online grocery is already having a slim profit margin and micro-fulfillment has the ability to increase its margin and to make e-commerce accessible to a broader range of retailers because it cuts down major costs like
The cost of storage, retrieval and picking (through automated MFC)
The cost of the last mile delivery (through hyperlocal placement)
The cost of real estate (through condensing fulfillment centers down into MFCs)
That’s why, Micro Fulfillment Center (MFC) is a perfect solution for urban warehouses with an approximated size between 5000 SF and 25000 SF that can meet the requirement of same day delivery through in-store picking or multiple last-mile delivery options. It can even be deployed at backside of the retail store, dark stores, malls or basements. A typical MFC system is having 1-2 aisles Dry + 1-2 aisles Chilled, 5,000-8,000 totes 10-high storage to 24’ x 2-deep, 2 decanting stations and 2-4 pick stations with each station picking at 700-800 UPH.
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Micro Fulfillment MarketHighlights of Micro Fulfillment Market Report
Annual Micro-Fulfillment Center installations will grow more than 20x by 2030, from current installed base of ~250 to be around ~5600 in 2030
More than 50% of these micro fulfilment centers will be deployed in United States in 2023.
Micro-Fulfillment Market is supposed to grow 2X by 2025 and 12X by 2030 as compared to current market size of 2022. MFC Services itself will contribute approximate $2 Billion by 2030 in this emerging space.
Almost 60% installation are supposed to be deployed with Shuttle-Based and Cube-Storage technologies in 2030 led by AutoStore and Takeoff Technologies. Players like Geek Plus, Grey Orange and Hai Robotics have also entered in this market through their AMR based solutions to give a tough competition to traditional players.
It is expected to have more than $5B market revenue of Micro-Fulfillment automation from Grocery Omnichannel (Walmart, Kroger, Ocado, Tesco, Albertsons, Meijer, Ahold Delhaize, Target, Carrefour) and Pure-Play E-commerce/Q-commerce players (Amazon, Gopuff, Instacart, Grofers, Missfresh, Dingdong) players by 2030.
We have forecasted ~1000 MFC installation for In-store deployment and ~120 installation for dark stores in 2030 although there can be some installation within existing or new DC/FC as well.
More than 50% of such MFC installations are supposed to be targeted for warehouses having a size of between 5000 sq. ft. and 25,000 sq. ft. We are also expecting a good growth for less than 5000 sq. ft. segment due to new dark stores opened by ultrafast delivery players but it is less than our prior estimates due to current challenges faced by rapid service players.
It is not a sustainable or profitable business for delivery service providers like Getir, Grofers, GoPuff, Instacart, Uber, Jokr, Fridge No More, Gorillas, Buyk, Delivery Hero, Swiggy, Zapp, Rappi, DoorDash, Weezy, Picnic, Jiffy, Shipt, Deliveroo, 1520, Dijas, Caviar, Rakuten, Flink, Justo, BevMo to fulfil and deliver the order manually although they can expect advertisement revenue from FMCG players.
Delivery service providers may partner with retailers or may have their own dark stores to automate the fulfilment process. Gopuff itself is having more than 500 dark stores and it reflects the huge opportunity of automation in this new customer base.
USA is going to be main market for next 10 years followed by U.K., China, Japan, and France. We do expect around 2700 MFC installed base i.e., almost 50% of worldwide market within USA by 2030.
Top Factors
It is estimated that online grocery will contribute more than 10% of overall grocery sale in US by 2025.
It is expected that consumers will continue with habit of buying online grocery developed during pandemic.
Delivery options may vary as Home Delivery, In-Store Pick Up, Curb side Pickup, Locker Delivery etc.
Urban warehouses with automation will be key to meet this demand with same day delivery expectations.
Delivery Fee is the one of the key factors to decide the digital channel in the long term.
Micro Fulfillment Centers – Advantages
Low CapEx and TCO; Even OpEx model works quite well like pay per pick or RaaS
Lesser time to build and install (4-8 weeks)
Eliminates the requirement of Conveyors
Faster delivery for end-customer (same day delivery)
Low cost for labor (automated fulfilment) and better last mile delivery (closer to end-customer)
Home Delivery and In-Store Shopping, both options are open through In-store Fulfillment
Direct relationship between retailer and customer. No or minimum 3rd party involvement for this customer experience
Micro Fulfillment Market Trends
Micro Fulfillment Market has been the most important and emerging trend during pandemic (covid-19) coming out from some bigger trends like eGrocery Growth, Urban Warehouses, Dark Stores and Automated Cold Storages. Huge investment in start-ups like Takeoff Technologies ($86M+), Fabric ($336M+), Attabotics ($165M+), Exotec Solutions ($446M+), BrightPick ($50M+), and Alert Innovation (Acquired by Walmart) are witnessing this growth along with presence of existing traditional players like Dematic, Swisslog, Knapp, OPEX Corporation, Muratec, SSI Schaefer, Daifuku, Honeywell Intelligrated and Vanderlande. Retailers such as Walmart, Amazon, Kroger, GAP, Nike, Woolworths, Amazon, Ocado, Carrefour, Uniqlo, Meijer, H-E-B, Albertsons, Majid-Al-Futtaim, Decathlon, Nordstorm, H-Mart and Ahold Delhaize have already started adopting and implementing these new technologies during pandemic. Apart this, piece picking robots’ suppliers like Berkshire Grey, Righthand Robotics, Kindred AI, Covariant, OSARO, Plus One Robotics, XYZ Robotics, Fizyr have established a new attractive capability for order picking in ecommerce fulfillment to transfer the good-to-person (G2P) systems into good-to-robot (G2R) systems.
Coming to MFC system architecture and technologies, AutoStore is an old and proven technology with hundreds of installations in ecommerce fulfullment including the recent partnership with Swisslog and H-E-B for micro fulfillment center in U.S. but they are going to face a very good competition in MFC space from new players like Takeoff Technologies, Fabric, Exotec Solutions, Attabotics, Berkshire Grey, Geek Plus and Alert Innovation. Established system integrators like Dematic, TGW, SSI-Schaefer, Daifuku, Honeywell Intelligrated, Vanderlande and Knapp are using the traditional shuttle and ASRS systems which are good and already proven for big fulfillment centers but not 100% ideal for micro fulfillment yet. At the same time, Attabotics, Alert Innovation, and Exotec are using emerging 3D technologies having good architecture specific to MFC with high density and no point of failure but it will too early to say anything as there are only few installations and not 100% proved yet. Apart this, software is going to be the main differentiator and value add for MFC systems as some suppliers are having their in-house software capabilities and others are having a partnership to do the needful. As per our discussion with technology suppliers and industry experts, every technology and architecture are having its own advantage and disadvantage depending upon the grocery store’s location, current requirement, capital expenditure, fear of digitalization and automation from big players, and insecurity related to its consumers’ information.
Key Players in Micro-Fulfillment Market Ecosystem:SUPPLY SIDE
What are the major trends and drivers impacting the Micro Fulfillment Market?
What is the revenue outlook (TAM), Installed base and forecast till 2030 for Micro Fulfillment Market by top segments such as Technologies, End-User, Store Type Deployment, Warehouse Size, Services, and Countries?
What are the key investments, partnerships and M&A in Micro Fulfillment space?
What is the impact of ultrafast delivery and dark stores on Micro-Fulfillment Market?
What is the competitive landscape of Micro Fulfillment Market?
What are the strategic imperative and calls to action that will define growth and success within Micro Fulfillment by 2030?
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1 Introduction & Background
eCommerce re-shaping Retail Supply Chain
Retail Supply Chain disrupted with eCommerce arrival
Consumer prefer convenience in grocery shopping
Evolution of online grocery and ultrafast delivery
Existing and Emerging models in online grocery
Ultra-fast delivery/on-demand grocery fulfilment
Dark stores have smaller footprint, lesser SKUs
Emerging Customer Base for MFCs
Instant / Ultrafast Delivery Service Companies in USA
Instant / Ultrafast Delivery Service Companies in Europe
Ultrafast Delivery Update
US online grocery will be a ~$250B market?
Customer expectations have shifted to home delivery
Pickup/click-and-collect is expected to see higher growth
China on-demand grocery sales reach $20B GMV?
Grocers need investments to improve customer experience and to be digitally mature
Increased Automation essential for eCommerce/eGrocery fulfilment
Degree of Automation at loading and unloading stations
eGrocery demands faster, more efficient supply chains
Economics of online grocery vs. ultra-fast delivery
Higher AOV; better product mix critical to online grocery success
Battle to gain market share through faster delivery times
Different strategies used for online grocery fulfillment
eGrocery will drive Micro-Fulfillment growth
Introduction of Micro Fulfilment Centers (MFC)
Centralized Fulfillment Center (CFC) vs Micro Fulfillment (MFC)
Regional Micro-Fulfillment Center (MFC) vs True Micro-Fulfillment Center (MFC)
Factors to be considered before MFC implementation
Enabling Technologies for Micro Fulfillment Center (MFC)
Key Developments in MFC space
2 Micro Fulfillment Market – Drivers and Challenges
End-User Behaviour and eCommerce penetration
Skilled Labour Shortage and High Labour Cost
Advances in AI and Machine Vision are accelerating development of MFCs
Increasing urbanization moving FCs closer to end-consumer
Customer Expectations and last-mile delivery
Capex and Need for complex software poses some challenges
Pros and cons of Micro-Fulfillment Centers
3 Cost Comparison and Advantages
Micro Fulfillment Center (MFC) vs Centralized Fulfillment Center (CFC)
Inventory Carrying Cost (ICC) Saving
Cost Comparison between MFC and other FC formats
Current state of eGrocery fulfilment strategies
4 Case Studies
Alert Innovation and Muratec with Alpen Group (Japan)
Takeoff Technologies and Carrefour operated by Majid-Al-Futtaim (UAE)
Alert Innovation and Walmart (USA)
Dematic and PepsiCo (USA)
Takeoff Technologies and Woolworths (Australia)
Fabric and FreshDirect (USA)
Swisslog and H-E-B (USA)
Takeoff Technologies and Sedano’s (USA)
Takeoff Technologies and ShopRite (USA)
Ocado and Kroger (USA)
5 Micro Fulfilment Center Market, By Value, Volume, Installed Base and Service Revenue
Global Micro-Fulfillment Market – Installed Base and Forecast till 2030
MFC Installations by Country and Forecast till 2030
Global Micro-Fulfillment Market (USD Million) and Forecast till 2030
Global Micro-Fulfillment Market (USD Million) by Country and Forecast till 2030
Global Micro-Fulfillment Market – Service Revenue (USD Million) and Forecast till 2030
6 Micro Fulfillment Market – By Warehouse Size – Installed Base and Market Size (USD Million)
Less than 5000 Sq. Ft. (#Installation and Forecast till 2030)
Between 5000 Sq. Ft. and 25000 Sq. Ft. (#Installation and Forecast till 2030)
More than 25000 Sq. Ft. (#Installation and Forecast till 2030)
7 Micro Fulfillment Market By Technology Solutions – Installed Base and Market Size (USD Million)
Cube-Storage (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Shuttle Based (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
AMR Based (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Others (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
8 Micro Fulfillment Market By End-User – Installed Base and Market Size (USD Million)
Grocery Omni-Channel (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Pure-Play E-Commerce / Q-Commerce (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Retail Omni-Channel (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Others (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
9 Micro Fulfillment Market By Store Type (Deployment) – Installed Base and Market Size (USD Million)
In-Store / Backside of Store (#Installation and Forecast till 2030)
Dark Stores (#Installation and Forecast till 2030)
Others – DC/FC, MFaaS (#Installation and Forecast till 2030)
10 Micro Fulfillment Market By Geography and Country – Installed Base and Market Size (USD Million)
Regional Dynamics for fulfilment and delivery
North America
United States (U.S.) By End-User and By Technology – (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Canada By End-User and By Technology – (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Europe
United Kingdom (U.K.) By End-User and By Technology – (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Germany – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
France – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Italy – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Spain – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Netherlands – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Nordic Region – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Rest of Europe – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Asia Pacific
China – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Japan – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
South Korea – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Australia – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
South East Asia (ASEAN) – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Rest of APAC- By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Middle-East – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Latin America
Mexico – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
South America – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
Rest of World – By End-User and By Technology (#Installation, Market Size and Forecast till 2030)
11 Competitive Landscape
Start-Up Ecosystem
Competition Matrix (Installed Base vs Geographical Reach)
Distributors and Partners
Market Share Analysis
Early adopters of MFCs by key architecture and technologies
~50 Projects Details related to MFC
Investment Details of more than ~$1.5B
Partnership along with M&A
Key Developments
Geographical Footprints of Suppliers by HQ
12 Company Analysis
Company snapshot of innovative start-ups
Product Offerings
Alert Innovation
Dematic
Exotec
Fabric
Company Profiles
Addverb Technologies
Alert Innovation
Attabotics
AutoStore
BrightPick
Cleveron
Dematic
Exotec
Geek+
Fabric
Fulfil
HDS Global
Honeywell Intelligrated
Instock
i-Collector
Knapp
Myrmex (Ocado)
Ocado Technologies
OPEX Corporation
Takeoff Technologies
Tompkins Robotics
Vanderlande (Toyota Industries Corp.)
Savoye
TGW Logistics Group
13 Emerging Trends
Goods to Robots (G2R)
Piece Picking Robots
Righthand Robotics
Berkshire Grey
Plus One Robotics
Last Mile Delivery
14 Research Methodology
Demand Side Analysis
Supply Side Analysis
Definitions
15 Acknowledgements16 About LogisticsIQLIST OF TABLES:
Table 1 Microfulfilment Market by Region and Geography (# of installations)
Table 2 Microfulfilment Market by Region and Geography (Revenue (USD m))
Table 3 Microfulfilment Market by Technology (# of installations)
Table 4 Microfulfilment Market by Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 5 Microfulfilment Market by End-user (# of installations)
Table 6 Microfulfilment Market by End-user (Revenue (USD m))
Table 7 Microfulfilment Market by Store Size (# of installations)
Table 8 Microfulfilment Market by Deployment (# of installations)
Table 9 Microfulfilment Market in United States, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 10 Microfulfilment Market in United States, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 11 Microfulfilment Market in United States, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 12 Microfulfilment Market in United States, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 13 Microfulfilment Market in Canada, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 14 Microfulfilment Market in Canada, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 15 Microfulfilment Market in Canada, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 16 Microfulfilment Market in Canada, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 17 Microfulfilment Market in United Kingdom, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 18 Microfulfilment Market in United Kingdom, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 19 Microfulfilment Market in United Kingdom, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 20 Microfulfilment Market in United Kingdom, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 21 Microfulfilment Market in Germany, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 22 Microfulfilment Market in Germany, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 23 Microfulfilment Market in Germany, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 24 Microfulfilment Market in Germany, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 25 Microfulfilment Market in France, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 26 Microfulfilment Market in France, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 27 Microfulfilment Market in France, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 28 Microfulfilment Market in France, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 29 Microfulfilment Market in Netherlands, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 30 Microfulfilment Market in Netherlands, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 31 Microfulfilment Market in Netherlands, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 32 Microfulfilment Market in Netherlands, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 33 Microfulfilment Market in Nordics, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 34 Microfulfilment Market in Nordics, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 35 Microfulfilment Market in Nordics, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 36 Microfulfilment Market in Nordics, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 37 Microfulfilment Market in Spain, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 38 Microfulfilment Market in Spain, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 39 Microfulfilment Market in Spain, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 40 Microfulfilment Market in Spain, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 41 Microfulfilment Market in Italy, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 42 Microfulfilment Market in Italy, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 43 Microfulfilment Market in Italy, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 44 Microfulfilment Market in Italy, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 45 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of Europe, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 46 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of Europe, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 47 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of Europe, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 48 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of Europe, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 49 Microfulfilment Market in China, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 50 Microfulfilment Market in China, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 51 Microfulfilment Market in China, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 52 Microfulfilment Market in China, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 53 Microfulfilment Market in Japan, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 54 Microfulfilment Market in Japan, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 55 Microfulfilment Market in Japan, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 56 Microfulfilment Market in Japan, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 57 Microfulfilment Market in South Korea, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 58 Microfulfilment Market in South Korea, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 59 Microfulfilment Market in South Korea, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 60 Microfulfilment Market in South Korea, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 61 Microfulfilment Market in Australia, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 62 Microfulfilment Market in Australia, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 63 Microfulfilment Market in Australia, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 64 Microfulfilment Market in Australia, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 65 Microfulfilment Market in South East Asia, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 66 Microfulfilment Market in South East Asia, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 67 Microfulfilment Market in South East Asia, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 68 Microfulfilment Market in South East Asia, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 69 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of Asia, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 70 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of Asia, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 71 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of Asia, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 72 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of Asia, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 73 Microfulfilment Market in Middle East, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 74 Microfulfilment Market in Middle East, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 75 Microfulfilment Market in Middle East, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 76 Microfulfilment Market in Middle East, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 77 Microfulfilment Market in Mexico, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 78 Microfulfilment Market in Mexico, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 79 Microfulfilment Market in Mexico, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 80 Microfulfilment Market in Mexico, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 81 Microfulfilment Market in South America, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 82 Microfulfilment Market in South America, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 83 Microfulfilment Market in South America, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 84 Microfulfilment Market in South America, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
Table 85 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of World, By End-User (# of installations)
Table 86 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of World, By End-User (Revenue (USD m))
Table 87 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of World, By Technology (# of installations)
Table 88 Microfulfilment Market in Rest of World, By Technology (Revenue (USD m))
